Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 17, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Francistown Stadium
  • Gape Mohutsiwa 45' goal

Botswana vs Libya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 2.00pm
Botswana 2 - 3 Eq Guinea

Libya

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 9.00pm
Libya 0 - 1 Tunisia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 35.1%. A win for Libya had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.92%) and 2-1 (6.79%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (13.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.

Result

Botswana 35.1% (-0.48)
Draw 30.99% (+0.45)
Libya 33.9% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.58% (-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 31.91% (-1.29)
Under 2.5 68.09% (+1.29)
Over 3.5 14% (-0.87)
Under 3.5 85.99% (+0.87)
Over 4.5 5.12% (-0.44)
Under 4.5 94.88% (+0.44)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5 63.34% (-1.05)
Under 0.5 36.66% (+1.04)
Over 1.5 26.55% (-1.07)
Under 1.5 73.44% (+1.06)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5 62.49% (-0.71)
Under 0.5 37.5% (+0.70)
Over 1.5 25.71% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 74.28% (+0.69)

Score analysis

Botswana 35.09%
Draw 30.99%
Libya 33.9%
Botswana
1-0 @ 13.79% (+0.26)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 6.79% (-0.20)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 35.09%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.74% (+0.65)
1-1 @ 13.53% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.99%
Libya
0-1 @ 13.48% (+0.39)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 6.61% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 33.9%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 1, 2022 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Saleh Taher 54' goal
  • yellowcard Goitseone Phoko 39'
  • yellowcard Moshe Gaolaolwe 53'
  • yellowcard Thato Kebue 61'
  • yellowcard Thatayaone Ditlhokwe 84'