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Africa Cup of Nations

Botswana national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Francistown Stadium
Libya national football team

Botswana
1 - 0
Libya

Mohutsiwa (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Botswana and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Eq Guinea
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Libya

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 0-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, March 28 at 9pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 35.1%. A win for Libya had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.92%) and 2-1 (6.79%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (13.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.

Result
BotswanaDrawLibya
35.1% (-0.478 -0.48)30.99% (0.442 0.44)33.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 39.58% (-1.102 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.91% (-1.288 -1.29)68.09% (1.284 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14% (-0.863 -0.86)85.99% (0.861 0.86)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-1.042 -1.04)36.66% (1.039 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-1.06 -1.06)73.44% (1.056 1.06)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (-0.701 -0.7)37.5% (0.697 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (-0.695 -0.7)74.28% (0.69 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Botswana 35.09%
    Libya 33.9%
    Draw 30.99%
BotswanaDrawLibya
1-0 @ 13.79% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.79% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 35.09%
0-0 @ 13.74% (0.64 0.64)
1-1 @ 13.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.99%
0-1 @ 13.48% (0.38 0.38)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.063 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 33.9%

How you voted: Botswana vs Libya

Botswana
27.7%
Draw
41.5%
Libya
30.9%
94
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Libya
1-0
Botswana
Taher (54')

Phoko (39'), Gaolaolwe (53'), Kebue (61'), Ditlhokwe (84')
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