Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.