COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 8, 2023 at 2pm UK

King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium

South Africa
2 - 1
Botswana

Rayners (66' pen.), Mogaila (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kgamanyane (63')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between South Africa and Botswana.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Namibia
Wednesday, July 5 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	9
2	Ivory Coast	3	3	6
3	South Africa	3	-1	3
4	Namibia	3	-5	0

Botswana

Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Botswana
Wednesday, July 5 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Botswana
56.8% ( -1.01)	27.49% ( 0.07)	15.71% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 33.71% (

1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.19% (

0.82)

67.81% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.19% (

0.55)

85.81% (

-0.54)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39% (

-0.06)

24.61% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.89% (

-0.09)

59.11% (

0.09)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.71% (

1.86)

55.28% (

-1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.95% (

1.07)

88.05% (

-1.07)

Score Analysis

South Africa 56.8%

Botswana 15.71%

Draw 27.48%

South Africa	Draw	Botswana
1-0 @ 19.07% ( -0.63) 2-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 56.8%	0-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.42) 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.23% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.19) Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.71%