Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 17, 2023 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT FNB Stadium
  • Munir 5' goal
  • Zakhele Lepasa 48' goal
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 60'

South Africa vs Morocco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 5.00pm
Liberia 1 - 2 South Africa

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 26, 2022 11.00pm
Zimbabwe 0 - 0 Morocco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result

South Africa 53.14% (+2.37)
Draw 26.36% (-0.35)
Morocco 20.5% (-2.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

43% (-1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.32% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 59.68% (+0.64)
Over 3.5 20.01% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 79.99% (+0.49)
Over 4.5 8.34% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 91.66% (+0.29)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 77.37% (+0.77)
Under 0.5 22.63% (-0.78)
Over 1.5 43.74% (+1.14)
Under 1.5 56.26% (-1.14)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 55.58% (-2.49)
Under 0.5 44.42% (+2.49)
Over 1.5 19.53% (-2.10)
Under 1.5 80.47% (+2.09)

Score analysis

South Africa 53.13%
Draw 26.35%
Morocco 20.5%
South Africa
1-0 @ 14.93% (+0.68)
2-0 @ 11.09% (+0.75)
2-1 @ 9% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (+0.49)
3-1 @ 4.46% (+0.11)
4-0 @ 2.04% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.66% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 53.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.27)
0-0 @ 10.05% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.26)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 26.35%
Morocco
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.38)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.47)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.40)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.23)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 20.5%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 9, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 51' goal
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 87' goal
  • goal Lyle Foster 8'
  • yellowcard Lyle Foster 24'
  • yellowcard Sphephelo Sithole 44'
  • yellowcard Ronwen Williams 81'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jul 1, 2019 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Al Salam Stadium, Cairo
  • Themba Zwane 18' yellowcard
  • Bongani Zungu 31' yellowcard
  • goal Moubarak Boussoufa 90'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 27, 2013 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Issam El Adoua 0' goal
  • Abdelilah Elhafidi 0' goal
  • goal May Mahlangu 0'
  • goal Siyabonga Sangweni 0'