Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.