Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Morocco win was 1-0 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.