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Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
 
Cape Verde national football team

Eswatini
0 - 1
Cape Verde

FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendes (56')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Eswatini and Cape Verde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

Last Game: Cape Verde 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Cape Verde

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 7.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.61%) and 0-3 (11.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.

Result
EswatiniDrawCape Verde
7.35% (0.238 0.24)16.69% (0.601 0.6)75.96% (-0.839 -0.84)
Both teams to score 35.91% (-0.646 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79% (-1.664 -1.66)49.2% (1.662 1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-1.52 -1.52)71.27% (1.519 1.52)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.45% (-0.419 -0.42)59.55% (0.419 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.58% (-0.2181 -0.22)90.42% (0.21600000000001 0.22)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.79% (-0.67099999999999 -0.67)11.21% (0.67 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.25% (-1.486 -1.49)35.75% (1.485 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 7.35%
    Cape Verde 75.94%
    Draw 16.69%
EswatiniDrawCape Verde
1-0 @ 3.46% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 1.96% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 7.35%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.204 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.443 0.44)
2-2 @ 2.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 16.69%
0-2 @ 15.98% (0.21 0.21)
0-1 @ 14.61% (0.59 0.59)
0-3 @ 11.65% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 6.38% (-0.276 -0.28)
1-3 @ 6.04% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-4 @ 3.31% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-5 @ 2.79% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.45% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-6 @ 1.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 75.94%

Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 4pm
Cape Verde
0-0
Eswatini

Mamba (71')