Morocco national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 25, 2023 at 10pm UK
Stade Mohamed V
Brazil national football team

Morocco
2 - 1
Brazil

Boufal (29'), Sabiri (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Casemiro (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Morocco and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up for Saturday's friendly against Morocco in Tangier.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
Last Game: Morocco 0-3 Madagascar
Thursday, January 19 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Brazil

All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Brazil (4-2 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 3pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Morocco win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
MoroccoDrawBrazil
20.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)54.44% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.42% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)55.16% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)76.41% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.2% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)41.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.74% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)78.26% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)20.25% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.42% (-0.052 -0.05)52.58% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 20.5%
    Brazil 54.44%
    Draw 25.05%
MoroccoDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.14%
2-0 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.5%
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 20.5%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 13.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.79%
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 54.44%

How you voted: Morocco vs Brazil

Morocco
33.0%
Draw
16.1%
Brazil
50.9%
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