Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil in this match.