World Cup
Nov 24, 2022 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richarlison 62' goal
  • Richarlison 73' goal

Brazil vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

Serbia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result

Brazil 50.68% (-1.15)
Draw 25.69% (+0.06)
Serbia 23.62% (+1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.4% (+1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.47% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 54.53% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 24.12% (+0.62)
Under 3.5 75.88% (-0.63)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 78.45% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 21.55% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 45.38% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 54.62% (+0.28)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5 61.69% (+1.47)
Under 0.5 38.31% (-1.47)
Over 1.5 24.93% (+1.38)
Under 1.5 75.07% (-1.38)

Score analysis

Brazil 50.68%
Draw 25.68%
Serbia 23.62%
Brazil
1-0 @ 12.67% (-0.44)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.40)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.29% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 50.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.48% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.68%
Serbia
0-1 @ 7.92% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.83% (+0.26)
0-2 @ 3.8% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 1.87% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.43% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.22% (+0.11)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 23.62%

Head to Head

World Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 27, 2018 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • goal Paulinho 36'
  • goal Thiago Silva 68'
International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2014 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fred 58' goal
  • yellowcard Radosav Petrovic 16'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Matic 41'

Build-up

Feature
Feature
Predicted Lineups