UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Norway
0 - 2
Serbia

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vlahovic (42'), Mitrovic (54')

Reaction

Aleksandar Mitrovic in action for Serbia on September 27, 2022

Aleksandar Mitrovic outshines Erling Braut Haaland as Serbia pip Norway to top spot

Aleksandar Mitrovic scores his 50th international goal to help Serbia beat Erling Braut Haaland's Norway and earn promotion to the top tier of the UEFA Nations League.

Sep 27, 20:39

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Norway and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovenia 2-1 Norway
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Serbia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Serbia 4-1 Sweden
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
Norway	Draw	Serbia
47.16% ( -0.2)	25.75% ( 0.08)	27.08% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

-0.24)

52.23% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.06% (

-0.2)

73.94% (

0.2)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.86% (

-0.19)

22.14% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.47% (

-0.28)

55.52% (

0.28)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93% (

-0.04)

34.07% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.24% (

-0.04)

70.75% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Norway 47.16%

Serbia 27.08%

Draw 25.75%

Norway	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.16%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.08%