UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK

Arena Petrol

Slovenia
2 - 1
Norway

Sporar (69'), Sesko (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Braut Haaland (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Slovenia 2-2 Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Norway

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Norway 3-2 Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Norway
36.79% ( 0.27)	24.18% ( -0.07)	39.03% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 60.77% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.23% (

0.37)

41.76% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.83% (

0.37)

64.17% (

-0.37)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39% (

0.31)

22.61% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.78% (

0.45)

56.22% (

-0.45)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.52% (

0.07)

21.48% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.48% (

0.1)

54.52% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 36.79%

Norway 39.03%

Draw 24.17%

Slovenia	Draw	Norway
2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.79%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.03%