Nations League
Sep 24, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andraz Sporar 69' goal
  • Benjamin Sesko 81' goal
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 47'

Slovenia vs Norway - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 12, 2022 7.45pm
Slovenia 2 - 2 Serbia

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Jun 12, 2022 5.00pm
Norway 3 - 2 Sweden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Slovenia 36.79% (+0.27)
Draw 24.18% (-0.08)
Norway 39.03% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.77% (+0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.23% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 41.76% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 35.83% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 64.17% (-0.37)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5 77.39% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 22.61% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 43.78% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 56.22% (-0.46)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 78.52% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 21.48% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 45.48% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 54.52% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Slovenia 36.79%
Draw 24.17%
Norway 39.03%
Slovenia
2-1 @ 8.26% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.15% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.66% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.35% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.61% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
Norway
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.74% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.03%

Head to Head

Nations League
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kristian Thorstvedt 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Petar Stojanovic 1'
  • redcard Miha Blazic 63'
  • yellowcard Andraz Sporar 90'+1'
Nations League
Nov 16, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Benjamin Verbic 9' goal
  • Rajko Rotman 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sigurd Rosted 56'
  • yellowcard Rune Jarstein 74'
  • goal Bjorn Johnsen 85'
Nations League
Oct 13, 2018 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tarik Elyounoussi 44' yellowcard
  • Ole Selnaes 45' goal
  • yellowcard Jaka Bijol 84'