Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
Bahrain	Draw	Serbia
30.56% ( -0.21)	25.49% ( 0.06)	43.95% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 54.36% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.69% (

-0.33)

49.31% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.64% (

-0.3)

71.36% (

0.31)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.04% (

-0.31)

29.96% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.93% (

-0.38)

66.08% (

0.38)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

-0.07)

22.38% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

-0.11)

55.89% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Bahrain 30.56%

Serbia 43.94%

Draw 25.48%

Bahrain	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.56%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.94%