International Friendlies
Nov 18, 2022 3.30pm
1
5
HT : 1 1
FT Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī
  • Yusuf 15' goal
  • goal Dusan Tadic 8'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 50'
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 51'
  • goal Filip Duricic 87'
  • goal Luka Jovic 89'

Bahrain vs Serbia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 11, 2022 3.30pm
Bahrain 2 - 2 Canada

Serbia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2022 5.00pm
Denmark 3 - 0 Serbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result

Bahrain 30.56% (-0.21)
Draw 25.49% (+0.06)
Serbia 43.95% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.36% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.69% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 49.31% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 28.64% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 71.36% (+0.31)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5 70.04% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 29.96% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 33.93% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 66.08% (+0.39)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5 77.62% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 22.38% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 44.11% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 55.89% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Bahrain 30.56%
Draw 25.48%
Serbia 43.94%
Bahrain
1-0 @ 8.08% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 30.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.71% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.48%
Serbia
0-1 @ 10.03% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.51% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.75% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.94%