Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%).