Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 4pm UK

South Africa
2 - 2
Liberia

Foster (11' pen., 22')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hlongwane (68' og.), Sangare (90+1')

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between South Africa and Liberia.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Last Game: South Africa 3-1 Zambia
Saturday, November 15 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: South Africa vs. Angola
Monday, December 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Liberia

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-1 Liberia
Monday, October 13 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 79.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 4.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.82%) and 3-0 (13.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.65%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Liberia
79.75% ( 0.03)	15.3% ( -0.03)	4.95% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 27.58% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.4% (

0.05)

52.6% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.75% (

0.05)

74.25% (

-0.04)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.9% (

0.02)

11.09% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.51% (

0.05)

35.49% (

-0.05)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

31.02% (

-0)

68.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.4% (

-0)

94.59% (

Score Analysis

South Africa 79.73%

Liberia 4.95%

Draw 15.3%

South Africa	Draw	Liberia
2-0 @ 18.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 16.82% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.12% Total : 79.73%	0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 15.3%	0-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 4.95%