COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium

Eswatini
0 - 1
Botswana

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ditsele (22')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Eswatini and Botswana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

Last Game: Eswatini 0-2 Togo
Sunday, June 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Botswana

Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Libya
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Eswatini	Draw	Botswana
40.62% ( 0.81)	27.68% ( -0.6)	31.7% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

1.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.39% (

2.09)

57.61% (

-2.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.62% (

1.63)

78.38% (

-1.63)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

1.47)

27.82% (

-1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59% (

1.84)

63.41% (

-1.84)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.58% (

0.94)

33.42% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.95% (

1.02)

70.05% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

Eswatini 40.61%

Botswana 31.7%

Draw 27.68%

Eswatini	Draw	Botswana
1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.61%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.76) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.7%