Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.