Friendlies 1

Jun 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade du 19 Mai 1956

Algeria
1 - 1
Tunisia

Mahrez (38' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Talbi (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Algeria and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

Last Game: Uganda 1-2 Algeria
Sunday, June 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Tunisia

All competitions

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Tunisia
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Tunisia
52.97% ( 9.01)	26.06% ( 3.6)	20.97% ( -12.61)

Both teams to score 44.36% (

-22.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.78% (

-24.3)

58.22% (

24.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.13% (

-23.09)

78.86% (

23.08)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9% (

-6)

22.1% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.54% (

-9.96)

55.46% (

9.96)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.94% (

-22.38)

43.06% (

22.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.66% (

-26.07)

79.34% (

26.07)

Score Analysis

Algeria 52.96%

Tunisia 20.97%

Draw 26.05%

Algeria	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 14.36% ( 8.28) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 5.29) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 2.08) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.73) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -2.26) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.7) Other @ 2.84% Total : 52.96%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 2.52) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 6.19) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -3.05) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( 2.77) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -2.45) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.76) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -2.54) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -2.54) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -1.22) Other @ 1.02% Total : 20.97%