Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 23, 2023 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Rahim Alhassane 54' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 88' goal
  • goal Daniel Sosah 38'

Algeria vs Niger - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 8, 2022 5.00pm
Tanzania 0 - 2 Algeria

Niger

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 8, 2022 2.00pm
Uganda 1 - 1 Niger

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 89.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Niger had a probability of 2.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.33%) and 4-0 (11.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.94%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result

Algeria 89.33% (+1.31)
Draw 8.48% (-1.02)
Niger 2.19% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

25.54% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.73% (+3.19)
Under 2.5 37.27% (-3.18)
Over 3.5 40.52% (+3.36)
Under 3.5 59.48% (-3.35)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5 94.61% (+0.87)
Under 0.5 5.39% (-0.87)
Over 1.5 78.86% (+2.46)
Under 1.5 21.14% (-2.46)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5 27% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 73% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 4.03% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 95.97% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Algeria 89.31%
Draw 8.48%
Niger 2.19%
Algeria
2-0 @ 16.78% (-0.79)
3-0 @ 16.33% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 11.92% (+0.68)
1-0 @ 11.49% (-1.19)
5-0 @ 6.96% (+0.73)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 5.14% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.75% (+0.24)
6-0 @ 3.39% (+0.51)
5-1 @ 2.19% (+0.25)
7-0 @ 1.41% (+0.28)
6-1 @ 1.07% (-89.04)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 89.31%
Draw
0-0 @ 3.94% (-0.64)
1-1 @ 3.62% (-0.36)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 8.48%
Niger
0-1 @ 1.24% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 2.19%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Jan 31, 2023 4.00pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Ayoub Abdellaoui 15' goal
  • Aymen Mahious 23' goal
  • Aymen Mahious 34' goal
  • Boureima Katakore 45' goal
  • Sofiane Bayazid 83' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Oct 12, 2021 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Youssouf Oumarou 80' yellowcard
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 20'
  • goal Aissa Mandi 33'
  • yellowcard Youcef Atal 45'+1'
  • goal Ismael Bennacer 48'
  • goal Baghdad Bounedjah 54'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Oct 8, 2021 8.00pm
6
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Riyad Mahrez 27' goal
  • Ramiz Zerrouki 31' yellowcard
  • Youssouf Oumarou 47' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 60' goal
  • Zakariya Souleymane 70' goal
  • Islam Slimani 76' goal
  • Islam Slimani 88' goal
  • yellowcard Victorien Adebayor 45'+2'
  • goal Daniel Sosah 50'