Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 23, 2023 at 9pm UK

Algeria
2 - 1
Niger

Alhassane (54' og.), Mahrez (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sosah (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Algeria and Niger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 0-0 Senegal (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, February 4 at 7.30pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Niger

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Niger 0-1 Madagascar
Friday, February 3 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 89.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Niger had a probability of 2.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.33%) and 4-0 (11.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.94%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Niger
89.33% ( 1.3)	8.48% ( -1.01)	2.19% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 25.54% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.73% (

3.18)

37.27% (

-3.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.52% (

3.35)

59.48% (

-3.35)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.61% (

0.87)

5.39% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.86% (

2.46)

21.14% (

-2.45)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

27% (

0.13)

73% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

4.03% (

0.04)

95.97% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Algeria 89.31%

Niger 2.19%

Draw 8.48%

Algeria	Draw	Niger
2-0 @ 16.78% ( -0.79) 3-0 @ 16.33% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -1.19) 5-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.73) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.23) 6-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.51) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.24) 7-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.27) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.58% Total : 89.31%	0-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.64) 1-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.35) Other @ 0.92% Total : 8.48%	0-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.95% Total : 2.19%