Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Niger had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.27%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.