Friendlies 1

Oct 12, 2023 at 5pm UK

Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium

Egypt
1 - 0
Zambia

Fathi (90+4')
Fathi (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sakala (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Egypt and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Egypt 1-3 Tunisia
Tuesday, September 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Zambia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Zambia
Saturday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	3	4	7
2	Namibia	3	2	7
3	Uganda	3	-3	1
4	Ivory Coast	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Zambia
59.37% ( 0.03)	23.45% ( -0)	17.18% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.57% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6% (

-0.02)

53.4% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06% (

-0.02)

74.94% (

0.02)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.3% (

0.01)

17.71% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.64% (

0.01)

48.36% (

-0)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.38% (

-0.05)

44.62% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.37% (

-0.04)

80.63% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Egypt 59.37%

Zambia 17.18%

Draw 23.44%

Egypt	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.37%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 17.18%