International Friendlies
Oct 12, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
  • Hamdi Fathi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Hamdi Fathi 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Fashion Sakala 75'

Egypt vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 6.00pm
Egypt 1 - 3 Tunisia

Zambia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 19, 2023 1.00am
Morocco 0 - 0 Zambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result

Egypt 59.37% (+0.04)
Draw 23.45% (-0.01)
Zambia 17.18% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.57% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.6% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.4% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 25.06% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 74.94% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 11.4% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.6% (+0.02)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 82.3% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.71% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.64% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 48.36% (-0.01)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 55.38% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 44.62% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 19.37% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 80.63% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Egypt 59.37%
Draw 23.44%
Zambia 17.18%
Egypt
1-0 @ 13.67% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.84% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.83% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 59.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.9% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.44%
Zambia
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 17.18%