COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 11, 2023 at 2pm UK

Princess Magogo Stadium

Seychelles
2 - 4
Zambia

Labrosse (81'), Mellie (90' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kangwanda (11'), Kanguluma (54'), Mashata (58'), Mulambia (73')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Seychelles and Zambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seychelles

Last Game: Malawi 2-0 Seychelles
Sunday, July 9 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Zambia

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Sunday, July 9 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	3	4	7
2	Namibia	3	2	7
3	Uganda	3	-3	1
4	Ivory Coast	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 78.92%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 6.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.69%) and 0-3 (12.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
Seychelles	Draw	Zambia
6.18% ( -0)	14.9% ( -0.01)	78.92% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 35.38% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.99% (

0.02)

46.01% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.68% (

0.01)

68.31% (

-0.01)

Seychelles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.14% (

60.86% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.92% (

91.08% (

-0)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.39% (

9.61% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.89% (

0.01)

32.11% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Seychelles 6.18%

Zambia 78.9%

Draw 14.9%

Seychelles	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 1.58% Total : 6.18%	1-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.28% Total : 14.9%	0-2 @ 16.04% 0-1 @ 13.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 12.52% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-4 @ 7.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.64% ( 0) 0-5 @ 3.44% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.34% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 78.9%