MX23RW : Sunday, May 26 11:57:46| >> :60:38:38:
Zambia national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Malawi national football team

Zambia
0 - 1
Malawi


Chepeshi (36'), Kanguluma (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Katebe (17' og.)
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Malawi.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Ivory Coast
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Malawi
Tuesday, June 20 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
ZambiaDrawMalawi
53.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 27.46% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 19.46% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 39.08% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.95% (-0.154 -0.15)64.05% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.78% (-0.111 -0.11)83.22% (0.10799999999999 0.11)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)24.56% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)59.05% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.81% (-0.157 -0.16)48.19% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.63% (-0.115 -0.11)83.37% (0.11200000000001 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 53.07%
    Malawi 19.46%
    Draw 27.45%
ZambiaDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 16.61% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 53.07%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 11.83% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 19.46%

How you voted: Zambia vs Malawi

Zambia
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Malawi
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2021
11am
Oct 7, 2020 2pm
Friendlies 3
Zambia
1-0
Malawi
Sikombe (15')
(23')

(34'), (44')
Mar 11, 2020
12am
rhs 2.0
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