COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Zambia0 - 1Malawi
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Malawi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Ivory Coast
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Zambia | Draw | Malawi |
53.09% ( 0.02) | 27.46% ( 0.04) | 19.46% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 39.08% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.95% ( -0.15) | 64.05% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.78% ( -0.11) | 83.22% ( 0.11) |
Zambia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.43% ( -0.06) | 24.56% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.95% ( -0.09) | 59.05% ( 0.08) |
Malawi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.81% ( -0.16) | 48.19% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.63% ( -0.11) | 83.37% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Zambia 53.07%
Malawi 19.46%
Draw 27.45%
Zambia | Draw | Malawi |
1-0 @ 16.61% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 53.07% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 19.46% |
How you voted: Zambia vs Malawi
Zambia
80.0%Draw
10.0%Malawi
10.0%10
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2021
11am
Group Stage
Zambia
Z
vs.
M
Oct 7, 2020 2pm
Mar 11, 2020
12am
Friendlies 3
Malawi
M
vs.
Z
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-09 10:33:58
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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