Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malawi would win this match.