Malawi national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Seychelles national football team

Malawi
2 - 0
Seychelles

Nkhoma (55'), Kumwembe (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Malawi and Seychelles.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Malawi
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Seychelles

Last Game: Seychelles 0-3 Comoros
Thursday, July 6 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malawi would win this match.

Result
MalawiDrawSeychelles
51.42% (-0.276 -0.28)27.93% (0.044 0.04)20.65% (0.233 0.23)
Both teams to score 39.44% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.59% (0.056000000000004 0.06)64.41% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.52% (0.038999999999998 0.04)83.48% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)25.5% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (-0.142 -0.14)60.34% (0.143 0.14)
Seychelles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.94% (0.29 0.29)47.06% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.47% (0.218 0.22)82.53% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Malawi 51.41%
    Seychelles 20.65%
    Draw 27.92%
MalawiDrawSeychelles
1-0 @ 16.39% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
2-0 @ 11.2% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 51.41%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 20.65%