COSAFA Cup
Jul 9, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
  • Lanjesi Nkhoma 55' goal
  • Christopher Kumwembe 65' goal

Malawi vs Seychelles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last game
Jul 6, 2023 5.00pm
Zambia 0 - 1 Malawi

Seychelles

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last game
Jul 6, 2023 2.00pm
Seychelles 0 - 3 Comoros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malawi would win this match.

Result

Malawi 51.42% (-0.28)
Draw 27.93% (+0.05)
Seychelles 20.65% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.44% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.59% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 64.41% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 16.52% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 83.48% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 6.42% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 93.58% (-0.02)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5 74.5% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 25.5% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 39.66% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 60.34% (+0.15)

Seychelles Goals

Over 0.5 52.94% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 47.06% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 17.47% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 82.53% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Malawi 51.41%
Draw 27.92%
Seychelles 20.65%
Malawi
1-0 @ 16.39% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 11.2% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.45% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 51.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 11.99% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.18% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.92%
Seychelles
0-1 @ 9.04% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.66% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.41% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 20.65%