COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 9, 2023 at 2pm UK

King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium

Zambia
2 - 1
Comoros

Mulambia (51'), Kangwanda (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Djambae (67')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Comoros.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Malawi
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	3	4	7
2	Namibia	3	2	7
3	Uganda	3	-3	1
4	Ivory Coast	3	-3	1

Comoros

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: Seychelles 0-3 Comoros
Thursday, July 6 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Comoros
51.48% ( 0.1)	26.12% ( 0.05)	22.4% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 45.89% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.87% (

-0.33)

57.13% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22% (

-0.27)

78% (

0.27)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72% (

-0.09)

22.28% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26% (

-0.14)

55.74% (

0.14)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.05% (

-0.35)

40.95% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.49% (

-0.31)

77.52% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Zambia 51.47%

Comoros 22.41%

Draw 26.12%

Zambia	Draw	Comoros
1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 51.47%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.23% Total : 22.41%