COSAFA Cup
Jul 9, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
  • Frederick Mulambia 51' goal
  • Albert Kangwanda 74' goal
  • goal Affane Djambae 67'

Zambia vs Comoros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last game
Jul 6, 2023 5.00pm
Zambia 0 - 1 Malawi

Comoros

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last game
Jul 6, 2023 2.00pm
Seychelles 0 - 3 Comoros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result

Zambia 51.48% (+0.11)
Draw 26.12% (+0.06)
Comoros 22.4% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.89% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.87% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 57.13% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 22% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 78% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 9.51% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 90.49% (+0.17)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 77.72% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 22.28% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 44.26% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 55.74% (+0.15)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5 59.05% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 40.95% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 22.49% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 77.52% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Zambia 51.47%
Draw 26.12%
Comoros 22.41%
Zambia
1-0 @ 13.7% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 10.28% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.15% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.93% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 51.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.13% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.12%
Comoros
0-1 @ 8.15% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.41%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 7, 2022 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT National Heroes Stadium
  • Thandi Mwape 2' yellowcard
  • Enock Mwepu 45'+2' goal
  • Shemmy Mayembe 67' yellowcard
  • Kings Kangwa 88' goal
  • Kings Kangwa 89' yellowcard
  • goal El Fardou Ben 13'
  • yellowcard Kassim M'Dahoma 40'
  • yellowcard Younn Zahary 45'
  • yellowcard Iyad Mohamed 84'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 7, 2021 2.00pm
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium