Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 44.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 27.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.