COSAFA Cup
Jul 14, 2023 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
  • Thembela Sikhakhane 40' yellowcard
  • Tshegofatso Mabaso 44' goal
  • Katlego Mohamme 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kelvin Kampamba 37'
  • goal Golden Mashata 50'
  • goal Albert Kangwanda 69'
  • yellowcard Albert Kangwanda 71'
  • yellowcard Pride Mwansa 78'
  • yellowcard Francis Mwansa 78'

South Africa vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Zambia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 44.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 27.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

South Africa 44.73%
Draw 27.72%
Zambia 27.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.02%

Goals

Over 2.5 40.75%
Under 2.5 59.24%
Over 3.5 20.34%
Under 3.5 79.65%
Over 4.5 8.53%
Under 4.5 91.46%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 73.61%
Under 0.5 26.39%
Over 1.5 38.45%
Under 1.5 61.54%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 62.52%
Under 0.5 37.48%
Over 1.5 25.74%
Under 1.5 74.26%

Score analysis

South Africa 44.73%
Draw 27.71%
Zambia 27.55%
South Africa
1-0 @ 13.17%
2-0 @ 8.78%
2-1 @ 8.61%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.3%
4-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.71%
Zambia
0-1 @ 9.71%
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.55%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
Jul 14, 2021 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Austin Thabani Dube 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Chanda 56'
International Friendlies
Oct 11, 2020 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Royal Bafokeng Stadium
  • Andile Jali 38' yellowcard
  • Sfiso Sandile Hlanti 62' yellowcard
  • Keagan Dolly 67' goal
  • Reeve Frosler 89' yellowcard
  • goal Kelvin Kampamba 78'
  • goal C 82'
  • yellowcard Z 90'