Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 44.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 27.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Zambia
44.73%	27.72%	27.55%

Both teams to score 46.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.75%

59.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.34%

79.65%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61%

26.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.45%

61.54%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.52%

37.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.74%

74.26%

Score Analysis

South Africa 44.73%

Zambia 27.55%

Draw 27.71%

South Africa	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 13.17% 2-0 @ 8.78% 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 2% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.55%