COSAFA Cup
Jul 11, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Princess Magogo Stadium
  • Tshegofatso Mabaso 76' goal
  • Tshegofatso Mabaso 88' goal
  • goal Bongwa Owa Matsebula 51'

South Africa vs Eswatini - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last game
Jul 8, 2023 2.00pm
South Africa 2 - 1 Botswana

Eswatini

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last game
Jul 8, 2023 5.00pm
Namibia 1 - 2 Eswatini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 67.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 9.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.4%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.12%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result

South Africa 67.9% (+0.22)
Draw 22.32% (-0.03)
Eswatini 9.77% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

31.2% (-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.62% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 62.37% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 17.99% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 82.01% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 7.21% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 92.79% (+0.11)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 82.05% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 17.95% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 51.22% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 48.78% (+0.05)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5 38.02% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 61.97% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 8.37% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 91.62% (+0.26)

Score analysis

South Africa 67.89%
Draw 22.32%
Eswatini 9.77%
South Africa
1-0 @ 19.1% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 16.4% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 9.39% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 4.03% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 67.89%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.12% (+0.11)
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 1.88% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.32%
Eswatini
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 2.19% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 9.77%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
Jul 8, 2021 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Sphelele Mkhulise 42' yellowcard
  • Thabang Sibanyoni 59' goal
  • Thabang Sibanyoni 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felix Badenhorst 27'
  • yellowcard Siboniso Mamba 36'
  • redcard Felix Badenhorst 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Sihlangu Mkhwanazi 90'+3'