Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 67.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.4%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.12%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.