COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 11, 2023 at 5pm UK

Princess Magogo Stadium

South Africa
2 - 1
Eswatini

Mabaso (76', 88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Owa Matsebula (51')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between South Africa and Eswatini.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Botswana
Saturday, July 8 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	9
2	Ivory Coast	3	3	6
3	South Africa	3	-1	3
4	Namibia	3	-5	0

Eswatini

Last Game: Namibia 1-2 Eswatini
Saturday, July 8 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 67.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 9.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.4%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.12%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Eswatini
67.9% ( 0.21)	22.32% ( -0.03)	9.77% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 31.2% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.62% (

-0.27)

62.37% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.99% (

-0.2)

82.01% (

0.2)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

-0.02)

17.95% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.22% (

-0.04)

48.78% (

0.04)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.02% (

-0.54)

61.97% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.37% (

-0.26)

91.62% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

South Africa 67.89%

Eswatini 9.77%

Draw 22.32%

South Africa	Draw	Eswatini
1-0 @ 19.1% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 16.4% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.22% Total : 67.89%	0-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.32%	0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 9.77%