COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 8, 2023 at 5pm UK

King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium

Namibia
1 - 2
Eswatini

Iimbondi (34')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Matse (41'), Owa Matsebula (44')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Namibia and Eswatini.

Form, Standings, Stats

Namibia

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Namibia
Wednesday, July 5 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	9
2	Ivory Coast	3	3	6
3	South Africa	3	-1	3
4	Namibia	3	-5	0

Eswatini

Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Botswana
Wednesday, July 5 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 40.91%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 28.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.78%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Namibia	Draw	Eswatini
40.91% ( -0.34)	30.71% ( 0.36)	28.37% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 39% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.84% (

-1.01)

68.17% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.96% (

-0.67)

86.04% (

0.67)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.06% (

-0.74)

32.94% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.48% (

-0.83)

69.52% (

0.83)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.16% (

-0.6)

41.85% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.7% (

-0.53)

78.3% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Namibia 40.91%

Eswatini 28.37%

Draw 30.7%

Namibia	Draw	Eswatini
1-0 @ 15.3% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.63% Total : 40.91%	0-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.5) 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.7%	0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.18% Total : 28.37%