Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 20, 2023 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Abedi Bigirimana 1' goal
  • Bonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana 9' goal
  • Hussein Shabani 19' goal
  • goal Peter Shalulile 41'
  • goal Wendell Rudath 85'

Burundi vs Namibia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 26, 2022 11.00pm
Burundi 0 - 0 Kenya

Namibia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 2.00pm
Namibia 2 - 1 Cameroon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 4.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-2 with a probability of 18.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.83%) and 0-3 (14.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.86%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burundi would win this match.

Result

Burundi 4.5% (-37.52)
Draw 14.11% (-7.51)
Namibia 81.38% (+45.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

27.91% (-42.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.14% (-21.01)
Under 2.5 49.86% (+21.00)
Over 3.5 28.14% (-22.06)
Under 3.5 71.85% (+22.06)
Over 4.5 13.41% (-17.52)
Under 4.5 86.59% (+17.52)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5 30.99% (-54.22)
Under 0.5 69% (+54.22)
Over 1.5 5.39% (-51.56)
Under 1.5 94.61% (+51.55)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5 90.06% (+7.09)
Under 0.5 9.94% (-7.09)
Over 1.5 67.12% (+14.29)
Under 1.5 32.88% (-14.30)

Score analysis

Burundi 4.5%
Draw 14.11%
Namibia 81.37%
Burundi
1-0 @ 2.54% (-2.27)
2-1 @ 1.09% (-7.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 4.5%
Draw
0-0 @ 6.86% (+4.34)
1-1 @ 5.87% (-2.65)
2-2 @ 1.26% (-5.95)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 14.11%
Namibia
0-2 @ 18.27% (+14.33)
0-1 @ 15.83% (+11.38)
0-3 @ 14.06% (+11.74)
0-4 @ 8.12% (+7.09)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.77)
1-3 @ 5.22% (+0.77)
0-5 @ 3.75% (-32.75)
1-4 @ 3.01% (+1.05)
0-6 @ 1.44% (-9.36)
1-5 @ 1.39% (-68.41)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 81.37%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 4, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Orlando Stadium
  • Peter Shalulile 10' goal
  • Charles Hambira 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana 46'
  • goal Bonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana 88'
  • redcard Bonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana 89'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Amissi 90'+4'