Friendlies 1

Mar 25, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno

Indonesia
3 - 1
Burundi

Sayuri (6'), Sulistyawan (14'), Ridho (44')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Niyongabire (51')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Indonesia and Burundi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

Last Game: Indonesia 2-1 Curacao
Tuesday, September 27 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Burundi

All competitions

Last Game: Ivory Coast 4-0 Burundi
Wednesday, November 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	Burundi
67.63% ( 0.46)	19.75% ( -0.2)	12.62% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 45.85% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.87% (

0.28)

47.13% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.63% (

0.26)

69.37% (

-0.25)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

0.22)

12.95% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.58% (

0.44)

39.41% (

-0.44)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.67% (

-0.24)

47.33% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.26% (

-0.18)

82.74% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Indonesia 67.62%

Burundi 12.62%

Draw 19.75%

Indonesia	Draw	Burundi
2-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.52% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 67.62%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.67% Total : 19.75%	0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 12.62%