Friendlies 1

Mar 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno

Indonesia
2 - 2
Burundi

Sulaeman (61'), Amat (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Berahino (80'), Bigirimana (90')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Indonesia and Burundi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

Last Game: Indonesia 3-1 Burundi
Saturday, March 25 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

Burundi

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Indonesia 3-1 Burundi
Saturday, March 25 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 67.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 12.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	Burundi
67.94% ( -0.26)	19.57% ( 0.15)	12.48% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 46.02% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.32% (

-0.39)

46.68% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.05% (

-0.37)

68.94% (

0.36)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.27% (

-0.19)

12.72% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.05% (

-0.4)

38.94% (

0.39)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.72% (

-0.06)

47.27% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.3% (

-0.05)

82.69% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Indonesia 67.93%

Burundi 12.48%

Draw 19.57%

Indonesia	Draw	Burundi
2-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 67.93%	1-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.57%	0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 12.48%