Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 67.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 12.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.