Lesotho vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zambia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Zambia.