Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zambia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Zambia.

Result
Lesotho	Draw	Zambia
19.79% ( 0.35)	24.59% ( -0.18)	55.62% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 46.68% (

1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.72% (

1.08)

54.27% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.33% (

0.9)

75.67% (

-0.9)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.94% (

1.03)

42.06% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.51% (

0.87)

78.48% (

-0.88)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56% (

0.35)

19.44% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.72% (

0.57)

51.27% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Lesotho 19.79%

Zambia 55.61%

Draw 24.59%

Lesotho	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.79%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 10.96% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 5.99% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.84% Total : 55.61%