COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Moses Mabhida Stadium

Angola
4 - 2
Lesotho

Cangue (20'), Amor (29'), Manu (50'), Junior (88')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Makha (4'), Mokokoana (44')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Angola and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: Angola 0-1 Mauritius
Monday, July 10 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

Lesotho

Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Lesotho
Monday, July 10 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.51%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.41%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.

Result
Angola	Draw	Lesotho
68.14% ( -0.38)	21.37% ( 0.2)	10.49% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 35.3% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.06% (

-0.3)

57.94% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.36% (

-0.24)

78.64% (

0.23)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

-0.23)

16.27% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18% (

-0.42)

45.82% (

0.42)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.16% (

0.16)

57.84% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.49% (

0.09)

89.51% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Angola 68.13%

Lesotho 10.49%

Draw 21.37%

Angola	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 17.08% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 15.51% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 68.13%	0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.37%	0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.37% Total : 10.49%