COSAFA Cup
Jul 12, 2023 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Moses Mabhida Stadium
  • Cesar Cangue 20' goal
  • Moises Amor 29' goal
  • Manu 50' goal
  • Apado Junior 88' goal
  • goal Tumelo Makha 4'
  • goal Rethabile Mokokoana 44'

Angola vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last game
Jul 10, 2023 2.00pm
Angola 0 - 1 Mauritius

Lesotho

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last game
Jul 10, 2023 5.00pm
Mozambique 0 - 1 Lesotho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.51%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.41%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.

Result

Angola 68.14% (-0.39)
Draw 21.37% (+0.21)
Lesotho 10.49% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.3% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.06% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 57.94% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 21.36% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 78.64% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 9.13% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 90.87% (+0.14)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5 83.73% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 16.27% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 54.18% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 45.82% (+0.43)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 42.16% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 57.84% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 10.49% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 89.51% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Angola 68.13%
Draw 21.37%
Lesotho 10.49%
Angola
1-0 @ 17.08% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 15.51% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 9.39% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 8.49% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 4.26% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.55% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 68.13%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.41% (+0.11)
1-1 @ 9.36% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.37%
Lesotho
0-1 @ 5.15% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 2.56% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.41% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 10.49%