Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 44.39%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 27.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (9.96%).

Result
Malawi	Draw	Lesotho
44.39% ( -2.52)	28.04% ( 0.72)	27.56% ( 1.8)

Both teams to score 45.14% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.63% (

-1.5)

60.36% (

1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.48% (

-1.15)

80.51% (

1.15)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.91% (

-1.96)

27.09% (

1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.53% (

-2.63)

62.46% (

2.62)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.91% (

0.7)

38.08% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.15% (

0.67)

74.85% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Malawi 44.39%

Lesotho 27.56%

Draw 28.03%

Malawi	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.85% Total : 44.39%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.73) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.56%