/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fleslog.png)
-
Chawanangwa Kawonga
26'
-
Jane Thaba-Ntso
18'
-
Motlomelo Mkwanazi
24'
-
Motlomelo Mkwanazi
45'
-
Kopano Neris Tseka
78'
Malawi vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F04%2Fmalmor.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 44.39%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (9.96%).
Result
Malawi
44.39%
▼
(-2.52)
Draw
28.04%
▲
(+0.72)
Lesotho
27.56%
▲
(+1.80)
Both Teams to Score:
45.14%
▼
(-0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.63%
▼
(-1.51)
Under 2.5
60.36%
▲
(+1.50)
Over 3.5
19.48%
▼
(-1.16)
Under 3.5
80.51%
▲
(+1.16)
Over 4.5
8.04%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 4.5
91.95%
▲
(+0.66)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5
72.91%
▼
(-1.96)
Under 0.5
27.09%
▲
(+1.96)
Over 1.5
37.53%
▼
(-2.63)
Under 1.5
62.46%
▲
(+2.63)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5
61.91%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 0.5
38.08%
▼
(-0.71)
Over 1.5
25.15%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 1.5
74.85%
▼
(-0.68)
Score analysis
Malawi
44.39%
Draw
28.03%
Lesotho
27.56%
Malawi
1-0
@
13.47%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.50)
2-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.45)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.36)
3-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.23)
4-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 44.39%
2-0 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.50)
2-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.45)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.36)
3-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.23)
4-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 44.39%
Draw
1-1
@
13%
▲
(+0.25)
0-0 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.57)
2-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.03%
0-0 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.57)
2-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.03%
Lesotho
0-1
@
9.96%
▲
(+0.73)
1-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.44)
1-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.56%
1-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.44)
1-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.56%