Malawi national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 11, 2023 at 2pm UK
Moses Mabhida Stadium
Comoros national football team

Malawi
2 - 0
Comoros

Kawonga (30' pen.), Mwaungulu (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Malawi and Comoros.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Malawi 2-0 Seychelles
Sunday, July 9 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Comoros

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Sunday, July 9 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
MalawiDrawComoros
34.2% (0.345 0.34)28.44% (0.134 0.13)37.36% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.06% (-0.447 -0.45)59.93% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.81% (-0.343 -0.34)80.19% (0.34 0.34)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)30.86% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (-0.615 -0.62)67.14% (0.61199999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Malawi 34.19%
    Comoros 37.35%
    Draw 28.44%
MalawiDrawComoros
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.19%
1-1 @ 13.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.15% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.44%
0-1 @ 11.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.02% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head
Dec 31, 2021 3pm
Friendlies 3
Comoros
1-2
Malawi
Jul 10, 2021 11am
Group Stage
Malawi
P-P
Comoros