Egypt national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
Djibouti national football team

Egypt
6 - 0
Djibouti

Salah (17', 22' pen., 48', 69'), Mohamed (73'), Trezeguet (89')
Attia (40')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Aden Warsama (13'), Akinbinu (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Egypt and Djibouti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Algeria
Monday, October 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Pakistan 1-3 Djibouti
Saturday, June 17 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 93.14%. A draw had a probability of 5.6% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 1.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.92%) and 4-0 (14.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.63%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (0.71%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
EgyptDrawDjibouti
93.14% (0.52200000000001 0.52)5.64% (-0.394 -0.39)1.23% (-0.127 -0.13)
Both teams to score 22.88% (-0.504 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.38% (1.114 1.11)29.62% (-1.113 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.26% (1.338 1.34)50.74% (-1.339 -1.34)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.55% (0.253 0.25)3.45% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.93% (0.845 0.84)15.07% (-0.843 -0.84)
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
23.7% (-0.587 -0.59)76.3% (0.58800000000001 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.06% (-0.16 -0.16)96.94% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 93.13%
    Djibouti 1.23%
    Draw 5.64%
EgyptDrawDjibouti
3-0 @ 16.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 14.92% (-0.31 -0.31)
4-0 @ 14.09% (0.31 0.31)
5-0 @ 9.49% (0.401 0.4)
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.378 -0.38)
6-0 @ 5.32% (0.332 0.33)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-1 @ 4.04% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.57% (0.039 0.04)
7-0 @ 2.56% (0.21 0.21)
6-1 @ 1.44% (0.051 0.05)
8-0 @ 1.08% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 93.13%
0-0 @ 2.63% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-1 @ 2.4% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 5.64%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 1.23%

How you voted: Egypt vs Djibouti

Egypt
73.7%
Draw
21.1%
Djibouti
5.3%
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