World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 16, 2023 4.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT Cairo International Stadium
  • 17' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 17' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 22' goal
  • Marwan Attia 40' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 48' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 69' goal
  • Mostafa Mohamed 73' goal
  • Trezeguet 89' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Aden Warsama 13'
  • yellowcard Samuel Akinbinu 83'

Egypt vs Djibouti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

Djibouti

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 93.14%. A draw had a probability of 5.6% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 1.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.92%) and 4-0 (14.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.63%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (0.71%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result

Egypt 93.14% (+0.53)
Draw 5.64% (-0.40)
Djibouti 1.23% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

22.88% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.38% (+1.12)
Under 2.5 29.62% (-1.12)
Over 3.5 49.26% (+1.34)
Under 3.5 50.74% (-1.34)
Over 4.5 30.06% (+1.21)
Under 4.5 69.94% (-1.21)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 96.55% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 3.45% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 84.93% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 15.07% (-0.85)

Djibouti Goals

Over 0.5 23.7% (-0.59)
Under 0.5 76.3% (+0.59)
Over 1.5 3.06% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 96.94% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Egypt 93.13%
Draw 5.64%
Djibouti 1.23%
Egypt
3-0 @ 16.74% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 14.92% (-0.32)
4-0 @ 14.09% (+0.32)
5-0 @ 9.49% (+0.41)
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.38)
6-0 @ 5.32% (+0.34)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 4.04% (-0.21)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.57% (+0.04)
7-0 @ 2.56% (+0.21)
6-1 @ 1.44% (+0.06)
8-0 @ 1.08% (-95.73)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 93.13%
Draw
0-0 @ 2.63% (-0.18)
1-1 @ 2.4% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 5.64%
Djibouti
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 1.23%