International Friendlies
Oct 16, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
  • Mohamed Hany 26' redcard
  • Trezeguet 44' yellowcard
  • Hamdi Fathi 57' yellowcard
  • Hamdi Fathi 62' goal
  • yellowcard Ahmed Touba 46'
  • goal 53'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 69'
  • yellowcard Youcef Atal 84'
  • goal Islam Slimani 90'+3'

Egypt vs Algeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 12, 2023 5.00pm
Egypt 1 - 0 Zambia

Algeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 12, 2023 8.00pm
Algeria 5 - 1 Cape Verde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Algeria had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for an Algeria win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Egypt 47.56% (-0.02)
Draw 27.4% (-0.01)
Algeria 25.03% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.03% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.41% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 59.58% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 20.08% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 79.92% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 8.38%
Under 4.5 91.61% (-0.01)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 74.85% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.14% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.14% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.85% (+0.01)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5 60.15% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.84% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.49% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 76.51% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Egypt 47.56%
Draw 27.39%
Algeria 25.03%
Egypt
1-0 @ 13.83%
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 10.01% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.39%
Algeria
0-1 @ 9.22% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.86% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 25.03%