Egypt national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
Algeria national football team

Egypt
1 - 1
Algeria

Fathi (62')
Trezeguet (44'), Fathi (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Slimani (90+3')
Touba (46'), Bensebaini (69'), Atal (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Egypt and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Zambia
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Algeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Cape Verde
Thursday, October 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Algeria had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for an Algeria win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
EgyptDrawAlgeria
47.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)27.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)25.03% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.58% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.92% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)59.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.15% (0.011000000000003 0.01)39.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.49% (0.012 0.01)76.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 47.56%
    Algeria 25.03%
    Draw 27.39%
EgyptDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 13.83%
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.56%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 5.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 25.03%

How you voted: Algeria vs Egypt

Algeria
44.7%
Draw
25.5%
Egypt
29.8%
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