Friendlies 1

Oct 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Mustapha Tchaker

Algeria
5 - 1
Cape Verde

El Amine Amoura (12'), Aouar (39', 41'), Zerrouki (61'), Slimani (89' pen.)

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bebe (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Algeria and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Senegal 0-1 Algeria
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Cape Verde

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Togo 3-2 Cape Verde
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Cape Verde
57.42% ( 0)	24.36% ( 0.01)	18.23% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.9% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69% (

-0.05)

55.32% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47% (

-0.04)

76.53% (

0.05)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.86% (

-0.02)

19.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.22% (

-0.03)

50.79% (

0.03)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.53% (

-0.04)

44.47% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.5% (

-0.04)

80.51% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Algeria 57.41%

Cape Verde 18.23%

Draw 24.35%

Algeria	Draw	Cape Verde
1-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 57.41%	1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 18.23%