Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 18, 2023 at 5pm UK

Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde

Cape Verde
3 - 1
Burkina Faso

Bebe (7'), Paulo (67'), Cle (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dayo (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Cape Verde and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Cape Verde
Monday, June 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Togo 1-1 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 39.39%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 29.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 1-2 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.13%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 1-0 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	Burkina Faso
29.53% ( -0.56)	31.07% ( -0.02)	39.39% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 38.62% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.16% (

-0.05)

68.84% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.51% (

-0.03)

86.49% (

0.03)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.72% (

-0.48)

41.28% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.2% (

-0.43)

77.8% (

0.43)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.76% (

0.34)

34.24% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.06% (

0.36)

70.94% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 29.53%

Burkina Faso 39.39%

Draw 31.06%

Cape Verde	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.25% Total : 29.53%	0-0 @ 14.13% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.06%	0-1 @ 15.14% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.39%