Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

Togo
1 - 1
Burkina Faso

Fo-Doh Laba (26')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ouattara (12')

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Togo and Burkina Faso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Togo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-0 Togo
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-0 Togo
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Togo had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Togo	Draw	Burkina Faso
29.49% ( -0.1)	27.63% ( -0.03)	42.88% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 47.31% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.86% (

0.06)

58.13% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2% (

0.04)

78.79% (

-0.05)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.67% (

-0.05)

35.33% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91% (

-0.05)

72.09% (

0.05)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

0.1)

26.84% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86% (

0.13)

62.14% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Togo 29.49%

Burkina Faso 42.87%

Draw 27.63%

Togo	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.49%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.87%