Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 10, 2023 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Kevin Denkey 40' goal
  • Kevin Denkey 77' goal
  • Abdou Moutalabou Ouattara 87' goal
  • Abdou Moutalabou Ouattara 89' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Pina 4'
  • goal Gilson Tavares 20'

Togo vs Cape Verde - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Togo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 18, 2023 4.00pm
Eswatini 0 - 2 Togo

Cape Verde

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 18, 2023 5.00pm
Cape Verde 3 - 1 Burkina Faso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Togo would win this match.

Result

Togo 38.89% (+0.24)
Draw 29.43% (-0.06)
Cape Verde 31.68% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.22% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.39% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 63.61% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 17.09% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 82.91% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 6.72% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 93.28% (-0.06)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5 68.21% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 31.79% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 31.78% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 68.22% (-0.25)

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5 63.36% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.64% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 26.57% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 73.43% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Togo 38.88%
Draw 29.43%
Cape Verde 31.67%
Togo
1-0 @ 13.34%
2-1 @ 7.68% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.65% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.93% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.92% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 38.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.64% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.43%
Cape Verde
0-1 @ 11.69% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 31.67%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 7, 2022 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Marrakech
  • Iuri Antonio Teixeira Tavares 10' goal
  • Roberto Lopes 58' yellowcard
  • Jamiro Monteiro 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Floyd Ayite 50'