Friendlies 1

Sep 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor

Senegal
0 - 1
Algeria

Sabaly (32'), Mane (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chaibi (64')
Ait-Nouri (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Senegal and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Rwanda
Saturday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Senegal	3	1	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	4
4	Qatar	3	-6	0

Algeria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Algeria 0-0 Tanzania
Thursday, September 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Algeria
38.65% ( 0.71)	28.58% ( -0.06)	32.76% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 45.76% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.39% (

0.11)

60.61% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.3% (

0.08)

80.7% (

-0.08)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.59% (

0.48)

30.41% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.39% (

0.57)

66.61% (

-0.57)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.76% (

-0.4)

34.23% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.07% (

-0.43)

70.93% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Senegal 38.65%

Algeria 32.76%

Draw 28.58%

Senegal	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.65%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.58%	0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 32.76%