Friendlies 1

Jun 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Brazil
2 - 4
Senegal

Paqueta (11'), Marquinhos (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Diallo (22'), Marquinhos (52' og.), Mane (55', 90+7' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Brazil and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's international friendly against Senegal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Brazil 4-1 Guinea
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	3	2	6
2	Switzerland	3	1	6
3	Cameroon	3	0	4
4	Serbia	3	-3	1

Senegal

All competitions

Last Game: Benin 1-1 Senegal
Saturday, June 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Senegal	3	1	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	4
4	Qatar	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Brazil	Draw	Senegal
61.97% ( 18.01)	22.66% ( 0.2)	15.37% ( -18.21)

Both teams to score 44.16% (

-22.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.71% (

-19.36)

53.29% (

19.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.16% (

-19.06)

74.84% (

19.05)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.25% (

-0.65)

16.75% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.32% (

-1.18)

46.67% (

1.17)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.05% (

-26.28)

46.95% (

26.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.55% (

-29.18)

82.45% (

29.18)

Score Analysis

Brazil 61.96%

Senegal 15.37%

Draw 22.66%

Brazil	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 14.05% ( 7.97) 2-0 @ 12.55% ( 7) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.74) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( 4.1) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( 1.8) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -2.06) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.63) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.96) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 61.96%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 1.04) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 4.53) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -3.31) Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.66%	0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( -3.54) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -1.89) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -2.96) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -2.72) Other @ 1.24% Total : 15.37%