Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.