/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fguilog.png)
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Joelinton
27'
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Rodrygo
30'
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Eder Militao
47'
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Vinicius Junior
88'
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Serhou Guirassy
36'
Brazil vs Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 5.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.38%) and 3-0 (13.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.45%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
Result
Brazil
79.12%
▼
(-0.73)
Draw
15.53%
▲
(+0.29)
Guinea
5.35%
▲
(+0.45)
Both Teams to Score:
29.17%
▲
(+1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.09%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 2.5
51.91%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 3.5
26.34%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 3.5
73.66%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 4.5
12.22%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 4.5
87.78%
▼
(-0.36)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5
88.91%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
11.08%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
64.53%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
35.47%
▲
(+0.06)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5
32.81%
▲
(+1.91)
Under 0.5
67.19%
▼
(-1.91)
Over 1.5
6.09%
▲
(+0.73)
Under 1.5
93.91%
▼
(-0.74)
Score analysis
Brazil
79.11%
Draw
15.53%
Guinea
5.35%
Brazil
2-0
@
18.01%
▼
(-0.51)
1-0 @ 16.38% ▼ (-0.45)
3-0 @ 13.21% ▼ (-0.38)
4-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.23)
5-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.06)
6-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-91.86)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 79.11%
1-0 @ 16.38% ▼ (-0.45)
3-0 @ 13.21% ▼ (-0.38)
4-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.23)
5-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.06)
6-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-91.86)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 79.11%
Draw
0-0
@
7.45%
▼
(-0.20)
1-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.53%
1-1 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.53%
Guinea
0-1
@
2.96%
▲
(+0.14)
1-2 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 5.35%
1-2 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 5.35%