Brazil national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 17, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Power8 Stadium
Guinea national football team

Brazil
4 - 1
Guinea

Joelinton (27'), Rodrygo (30'), Militao (47'), Junior (88' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guirassy (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Brazil and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Saturday's international friendly against Guinea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 2-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 25 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Guinea

All competitions
Last Game: Guinea 1-2 Egypt
Wednesday, June 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 5.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.38%) and 3-0 (13.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.45%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
BrazilDrawGuinea
79.12% (-0.72999999999999 -0.73)15.53% (0.283 0.28)5.35% (0.4409 0.44)
Both teams to score 29.17% (1.68 1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09% (0.639 0.64)51.91% (-0.64400000000001 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.34% (0.549 0.55)73.66% (-0.55499999999999 -0.55)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.91% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)11.08% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.53% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)35.47% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
32.81% (1.901 1.9)67.19% (-1.905 -1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.09% (0.7279 0.73)93.91% (-0.73299999999999 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 79.11%
    Guinea 5.35%
    Draw 15.53%
BrazilDrawGuinea
2-0 @ 18.01% (-0.51 -0.51)
1-0 @ 16.38% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-0 @ 13.21% (-0.38 -0.38)
4-0 @ 7.27% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.316 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.25% (0.226 0.23)
5-0 @ 3.2% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.122 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.052 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 79.11%
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-1 @ 6.51% (0.294 0.29)
2-2 @ 1.42% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.53%
0-1 @ 2.96% (0.136 0.14)
1-2 @ 1.3% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 5.35%

How you voted: Brazil vs Guinea

Brazil
84.8%
Draw
4.3%
Guinea
10.9%
46