Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
Senegal1 - 1Rwanda
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Senegal and Rwanda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brazil 2-4 Senegal
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.89%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.59%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Senegal | Draw | Rwanda |
68.89% ( -0.14) | 21.16% ( -0) | 9.95% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 34.17% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.57% ( 0.32) | 58.43% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.97% ( 0.25) | 79.03% ( -0.25) |
Senegal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.81% ( 0.06) | 16.19% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.33% ( 0.12) | 45.67% ( -0.12) |
Rwanda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
40.77% ( 0.49) | 59.23% ( -0.49) |