Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor

Senegal
1 - 1
Rwanda

Camara (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Niyonzima (90+6')

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Senegal and Rwanda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Brazil 2-4 Senegal
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Senegal	3	1	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	4
4	Qatar	3	-6	0

Rwanda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 0-2 Mozambique
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 9.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.89%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.59%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Rwanda
68.89% ( -0.14)	21.16% ( -0)	9.95% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 34.17% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.57% (

0.32)

58.43% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.97% (

0.25)

79.03% (

-0.25)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.81% (

0.06)

16.19% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.33% (

0.12)

45.67% (

-0.12)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.77% (

0.49)

59.23% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.75% (

0.26)

90.25% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Senegal 68.89%

Rwanda 9.95%

Draw 21.16%

Senegal	Draw	Rwanda
1-0 @ 17.46% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 15.89% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 68.89%	0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.12) 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.16%	0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.21% Total : 9.95%