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World Cup

Ethiopia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
Sierra Leone national football team

Ethiopia
0 - 0
Sierra Leone


Yalew (38'), Tesfaye (74'), Kumsa (74')
FT

Kargbo (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and Sierra Leone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Ethiopia
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Sierra Leone

All competitions
Last Game: Somalia 0-2 Sierra Leone
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 39.42%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 29.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
EthiopiaDrawSierra Leone
39.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)30.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)29.97% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 39.83% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.54% (0.0039999999999978 0)67.46% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)85.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.00099999999999056 0)33.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)70.11%
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)40.12% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.24% (0.004999999999999 0)76.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 39.42%
    Sierra Leone 29.96%
    Draw 30.6%
EthiopiaDrawSierra Leone
1-0 @ 14.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 7.35%
3-0 @ 2.93%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.42%
0-0 @ 13.43%
1-1 @ 13.42%
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.6%
0-1 @ 12.26%
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 29.96%

How you voted: Ethiopia vs Sierra Leone

Ethiopia
64.4%
Draw
25.3%
Sierra Leone
10.3%
87
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2021 2.30pm
Friendlies 3
Ethiopia
0-0
Sierra Leone