Sierra Leone national football team
Friendlies 3
Oct 14, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stade Al Bachir
Benin national football team

Sierra Leone
1 - 1
Benin

Turay (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hountondji (90+9')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Sierra Leone and Benin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Sierra Leone
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Benin

All competitions
Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Benin
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Benin had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Sierra LeoneDrawBenin
38.31% (0.761 0.76)25.41% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)36.28% (-0.769 -0.77)
Both teams to score 56.27% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-0.07 -0.07)47.56% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)69.76% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (0.38 0.38)24.43% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (0.53 0.53)58.86% (-0.53 -0.53)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (-0.462 -0.46)25.54% (0.461 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (-0.637 -0.64)60.4% (0.636 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Sierra Leone 38.31%
    Benin 36.28%
    Draw 25.41%
Sierra LeoneDrawBenin
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.097 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.151 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.52% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.28%

rhs 2.0


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