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Africa Cup of Nations
Liberia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2024 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Djibouti national football team

Liberia
0 - 0
Djibouti

FT
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Preliminary Round clash between Liberia and Djibouti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Djibouti 0-2 Liberia
Wednesday, March 20 at 10pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Djibouti

Last Game: Djibouti 0-2 Liberia
Wednesday, March 20 at 10pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Djibouti win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
LiberiaDrawDjibouti
63.94% (2.879 2.88) 19.82% (-0.582 -0.58) 16.24% (-2.298 -2.3)
Both teams to score 55.06% (-2.84 -2.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.27% (-1.427 -1.43)39.73% (1.425 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.91% (-1.499 -1.5)62.08% (1.496 1.5)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.35900000000001 0.36)11.77% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.04% (0.768 0.77)36.96% (-0.769 -0.77)
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (-3.488 -3.49)37.59% (3.486 3.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (-3.579 -3.58)74.37% (3.577 3.58)
Score Analysis
    Liberia 63.93%
    Djibouti 16.24%
    Draw 19.82%
LiberiaDrawDjibouti
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.916 0.92)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.739 0.74)
3-0 @ 7.22% (0.751 0.75)
3-1 @ 7.07% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.86% (0.451 0.45)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.288 -0.29)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.213 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 63.93%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.479 -0.48)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.287 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.82%
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.519 -0.52)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.12% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.329 -0.33)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.333 -0.33)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 16.24%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2024 10pm
Preliminary Round 1st Leg
Djibouti
0-2
Liberia
Sangare (23' pen.), Dorley (35')
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