Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 84.89%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 3.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.19%) and 1-0 (11.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.