Friendlies 3

Oct 13, 2023 at 3pm UK

Nuevo Estadio de Malabo

Eq Guinea
0 - 0
Burkina Faso

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Equatorial Guinea and Burkina Faso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Last Game: Libya 1-1 Eq Guinea
Wednesday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Burkina Faso

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Morocco 1-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 44.8%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.45%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Burkina Faso
44.8% ( -0.13)	31.28% ( 0.06)	23.91% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 35.32% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.74% (

-0.1)

71.25% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.97% (

-0.06)

88.02% (

0.06)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66% (

-0.13)

32.33% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.16% (

-0.14)

68.84% (

0.14)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.2% (

0.01)

47.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.92% (

83.08% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 44.79%

Burkina Faso 23.91%

Draw 31.28%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 17.44% 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 44.79%	0-0 @ 15.45% ( 0.06) 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 31.28%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 23.91%