Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Equatorial Guinea and Burkina Faso.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Eq Guinea
Wednesday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 1-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 44.8%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.45%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Burkina Faso |
44.8% ( -0.13) | 31.28% ( 0.06) | 23.91% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 35.32% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
