International Friendlies
Oct 13, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nuevo Estadio de Malabo

Equatorial Guinea vs Burkina Faso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 44.8%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.45%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood.

Result

Equatorial Guinea 44.8% (-0.13)
Draw 31.28% (+0.06)
Burkina Faso 23.91% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.32% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 28.74% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 71.25% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 11.97% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 88.02% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 4.14% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 95.85% (+0.03)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 67.66% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 32.33% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 31.16% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 68.84% (+0.15)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5 52.2% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 47.79% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 16.92% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 83.08% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Equatorial Guinea 44.79%
Draw 31.28%
Burkina Faso 23.91%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 17.44%
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.27% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 44.79%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.45% (+0.06)
1-1 @ 12.88% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 31.28%
Burkina Faso
0-1 @ 11.4% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.21% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 23.91%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 21, 2015 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Diosdado Mbele 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Issa Gouo 23'