Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2023 at 8pm UK

First Statement Stadium

Libya
1 - 1
Eq Guinea

Taqtaq (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Elo Ayeto (62')
Miranda (57'), Buyla (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Libya and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Libya

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Libya
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Tunisia
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Libya	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
49.22% ( -2.55)	26.06% ( 0.61)	24.71% ( 1.94)

Both teams to score 48.42% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95% (

-0.66)

55.04% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69% (

-0.55)

76.31% (

0.55)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6% (

-1.37)

22.4% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.08% (

-2.1)

55.91% (

2.09)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.39% (

1.44)

37.6% (

-1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.61% (

1.38)

74.38% (

-1.38)

Score Analysis

Libya 49.22%

Equatorial Guinea 24.71%

Draw 26.06%

Libya	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.95% Total : 49.22%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.71%