Friendlies 1

Sep 12, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Morocco
1 - 0
Burkina Faso

Ounahi (36')
Hakimi (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tapsoba (41'), Nagalo (90+3'), Salou (90+4'), Tapsoba (90+3'), Dayo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Morocco and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Morocco
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Croatia	3	3	5
3	Belgium	3	-1	4
4	Canada	3	-5	0

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 47.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morocco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Burkina Faso
47.14% ( 0.07)	28.14% ( -0.05)	24.71% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 42.87% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.8% (

0.14)

62.2% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.11% (

0.1)

81.88% (

-0.1)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

0.1)

26.54% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25% (

0.13)

61.75% (

-0.13)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.37% (

0.06)

41.63% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.88% (

0.05)

78.11% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Morocco 47.13%

Burkina Faso 24.71%

Draw 28.14%

Morocco	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 14.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 47.13%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.18% Total : 24.71%