World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 4pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Liberia
0 - 1
Eq Guinea

Kenneh (27')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nsue (9')
Miranda (38'), Salvador (52'), Owono (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Liberia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Malawi
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Namibia
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.

Result
Liberia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
22.87% ( 0.82)	26.83% ( -0.05)	50.3% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 44.53% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.84% (

0.83)

59.17% (

-0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.4% (

0.64)

79.6% (

-0.63)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.35% (

1.3)

41.66% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.87% (

1.12)

78.14% (

-1.11)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33% (

0.01)

23.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.22% (

0.02)

57.79% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Liberia 22.87%

Equatorial Guinea 50.29%

Draw 26.82%

Liberia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.17% Total : 22.87%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 14.2% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 50.29%